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Betting Odds Explained

Learn how to read and calculate football betting odds — fractional, decimal and American formats explained with examples.

By XWhiz Data Team · Last updated 2026-09-16

What are betting odds?

Betting odds represent the probability of an outcome occurring and determine how much you can win from a bet. Understanding odds is fundamental to making informed football predictions.

Decimal odds (European)

Decimal odds show your total return per £1 wagered. For example, odds of 2.50 mean you receive £2.50 back for every £1 bet (including your stake). To calculate: Stake × Odds = Total Return.

Fractional odds (UK)

Fractional odds show your profit relative to your stake. Odds of 5/1 mean you win £5 for every £1 bet. To convert to decimal: divide and add 1 (5/1 = 6.00).

American odds (US)

Positive odds (+200) show profit on a $100 stake. Negative odds (-150) show how much you need to bet to win $100.

How our model calculates fair odds

XWhiz uses the Dixon-Coles statistical model to calculate true probabilities for every outcome. Fair odds are then derived as 1/probability, adjusted for bookmaker margin. This gives you a benchmark to compare against bookmaker prices and find value bets.

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Frequently asked questions

What is betting odds explained?

Learn how to read and calculate football betting odds — fractional, decimal and American formats explained with examples.

How does the XWhiz model work?

XWhiz uses a Dixon-Coles adjusted Poisson model combined with Elo ratings to calculate expected goals and market probabilities for every match.

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